Showing posts with label Heisman Trophy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Heisman Trophy. Show all posts

Monday, November 15

Separating Truth from Speculation: Why the Cam Newton Saga Should Not Affect the Heisman Race

Bringing the House illustration
With about one month and a half remaining in the college football season, the Heisman Trophy race remains intriguing not because the on-field accolades of competing stars are comparable, but instead because the off-field decisions of the award's front-runner are under intense scrutiny. If you have been living in a cave for the past couple weeks, or if you are completely confused by the Cam Newton saga, click here for a nice synopsis of the entire drama. I, however, am tired of sifting through rumors, reports, and speculation--I will let the FBI, the NCAA, and any other red-tape infested bureaucracy deal with it. Instead, I want to focus on the implications of the drama as it relates to Newton's Heisman Trophy bid.

At this point in the season, if you voted based on only on-field production, Newton would win the Heisman in a runaway. The numbers that he has posted are pretty surreal, even from a historical perspective. Listen to this:  Prior to his last game against Georgia, Cam Newton accounted for more touchdowns than 71 entire FBS teams this season. And he has done so in arguably the toughest conference in college football against teams like LSU, Arkansas, and South Carolina. It really does not matter who or what you throw at him--he finds ways to reach the end zone. Newton currently has 21 passing touchdowns, 17 rushing touchdowns, and 1 receiving touchdown.

What is even more fascinating is comparing Newton to the other Heisman candidates. His main competition is Oregon running back LaMichael James and Boise State quarterback Kellen Moore. When you look at his skills and athletic ability, Newton is the hybrid of Moore and James. Furthermore, and perhaps even more impressive, when you look at the numbers, he is the aggregate of Moore and James. Look at the following comparison between Cam Newton and Kellen Moore, as passers:

Newton:  135-for-198 (68.2%), 2,038 yards (10.29 YPA), 21 TDs (183.58 rating)
Moore:    174-for-242 (71.9%), 2,588 yards (10.69 YPA), 24 TDs (191.15 rating)

Statistically, Newton and Moore are pretty similar. Obviously, Moore is better across the board, but you have to factor in Newton's competition and his running abilities. Next, let's look at the breakdown between Newton and LaMichael James, as rushers:

Newton:  206 carries, 1297 yards (6.3 avg), 17 TDs
James:     225 carries, 1422 yards (6.3 avg), 17 TDs

Again, Newton and James are pretty similar, and even more so than Newton and Moore, because in this case Newton and James have the exact same number of touchdowns and average the same number of yards per carry. In this comparison, you also have to factor in Newton's passing statistics. In both cases--Newton versus Moore and Newton versus James--the Auburn quarterback holds his own. And when you factor in both sides of his game--running and passing--it becomes no contest. The numbers say enough.

Speaking of numbers, look at where Cam Newton stands in comparison to some FBS teams in the following statistics:

Total Yards:

West Virginia - 3,375
Newton - 3,335
Pittsburgh - 3,329
LSU - 3,241
Washington - 3,132

Points Per Game*

Texas - 21.7
Newton - 21.3
Rutgers - 21.2
UCLA - 20.7
Boston College - 19.3
*Remember:  PPG for teams includes points from field goals and extra points; Newton's points per game does not

How ridiculous are those above numbers? I am literally comparing one player to entire teams. Unbelievable.

But of course, we must ask, how does the off-field circus affect his on-field production in the context of the Heisman race?

Taken directly from the website, the mission of the Heisman Trust is to "annually [recognize] the outstanding college football player whose performance best exhibits the pursuit of excellence with integrity…Winners epitomize great ability combined with diligence, perseverance, and hard work." As I demonstrated above, Newton is clearly the most outstanding college football player on this planet. His performances thus far have been excellent. His great ability is certainly the result of diligence, perseverance, and hard work. Now, what about that key word, integrity?

Newton is by no means a saint. His legal troubles during his brief stint at Florida have been well documented; he was cited for countless moving violations, he stole someone's laptop, and he was caught cheating on multiple occasions. But all that stuff happened in the past. Newton left Florida, enrolled at a junior college, and began anew at Auburn. We Americans value second chances. We believe in redemption and rebirth. And while Newton's past may color your view of his current situation, we shouldn't be too quick to judge.

My point is that as of right now, I give Newton the benefit of the doubt. We can't just assume that all of the rumors are true. Nothing has been proven yet--it is all hearsay at this point. Until the NCAA, the FBI, or our justice system makes an official ruling on the situation, we should act as though Newton and his father acted with integrity throughout his post-junior college recruitment and his time at Auburn. It's the fair thing to do. As a result, if we vote on what we know, instead of what we think, then Cam Newton is worthy of every first-place Heisman vote.

Wednesday, September 15

Executive Order 2005: Bush Forfeits Heisman Trophy

Yesterday, former USC running back Reggie Bush forfeited his 2005 Heisman Trophy. The unprecedented move comes on the heels of years of NCAA investigation and speculation regarding Bush's receipt of improper benefits from agents. Today, the Heisman Trust announced that it will leave the 2005 award vacant and it will not give the award to that season's runner-up, former Texas Longhorns quarterback Vince Young. Here's my take on the various moving parts of this event...

Bush Did the Right Thing

After its investigation, the NCAA laid down the hammer on USC and its football program. And this past off-season, USC underwent the biggest makeover in its storied history:  Legendary coach Pete Carroll resigned; the school fired highly-controversial athletic director Mike Garrett; and the athletic department removed all symbols of Bush from campus, including the school's copy of the Heisman Trophy, jerseys, and banners. Amidst all this, Bush remained unchanged. Whenever a reporter approached him regarding the controversy, he stuck to his guns and stood by his innocence. He never admitted any wrongdoing and he never offered USC and its fans an apology. In fact, he basically swept everything under the rug. Until yesterday.

By giving back the Heisman Trophy, Bush takes the first step on the road to recovery. He enables the NCAA, the Heisman Trust, USC, himself, and even the Saints, to move on. To be frank, I don't think his image/legacy is fully recoverable (more on this later). But for now, returning the trophy is a good start. Up next, how about an apology?

Bush's Image is Irreparable

Sports fans, for the most part, are forgiving. But only when an apology is involved. Bush has yet to admit any wrongdoing, and even though his Heisman Trophy forfeiture may imply his guilt, it does not quite measure up to a true apology.

There has been some discussion over how this scandal affects Bush's chances at induction into the College Football Hall of Fame. Personally, I think his chances are slim to none. While I recognize that his on-field accomplishments warrant induction, it is too easy for voters to pick on a player's blemishes. Furthermore, Bush is now a villain, and he played for a team that much of the country dislikes. I could easily see voters rally against him. Even if you try to separate character issues from performance, one could argue that Bush simply should not have been on the field during that season and thus should not have compiled those numbers and highlights. He is the poster-child of an era when college athletes are often connected to receiving improper benefits from agents and boosters, and I doubt voters want that cloud hovering over the Hall of Fame.

2005 Heisman Trophy Should Remain Vacated

I completely agree with the Heisman Trust's decision to leave the '05 award vacant. Some people speculated that the Trust would re-award the trophy to that season's runner-up, Vince Young. Mack Brown, Texas' head coach, even publicly lobbied for that decision. But in the end, the Trust decided that they were too far removed from that season to render a sound decision. And I'm glad that they felt that way. I don't want to take anything away from Vince Young because he had a great season capped by a magical performance against Bush and USC in the Rose Bowl. But if you take Bush out of the equation, don't you think Matt Leinart would have received a lot of those votes? I remember that season a lot of people thought Leinart and Bush would take votes away from each other, well where is all that discussion now? You cannot simply assume that Young would have risen to the top.

Also, if you are Vince Young, would you even want that trophy now? Imagine displaying the trophy in your living room and knowing that the only reason why you won was because Bush gave it back to repair his image. Not only that, but I think a lot of the prestige of the trophy comes from the actual award ceremony. Every trophy winner in the modern era has video/pictures of them receiving the trophy with a huge smile and then delivering an acceptance speech. They have the opportunity to shake hands with the other fraternity members and officially join the club. Vince did none of that. And now that we are five years removed from that season and Vince is in the pros, does anyone even care about that year's award? I know I don't. I would love to hear the opinion of a rational Texas fan.
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